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The Fed and economic policy were top of mind this week given the central bank's Wednesday decision to yet again leave interest rates unchanged , as it has since last summer. This week included the conclusion of April's trading month, which marked the first down month of the year for all three major market averages. Indeed, some recent earnings reports have raised doubts about the economy, with brands from McDonald's and Starbucks evidencing signs of strain among consumers. While no new inflation numbers are scheduled for release next week, investors will see reports on March wholesale inventories, March consumer credit and May consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan. AI trade Though interest rates took center stage this week, investors also continued monitoring companies tied to the artificial intelligence boom amid the stocks' recent choppiness.
Persons: they're, Jerome Powell, Larry Tentarelli, David Donabedian, Sam Stovall, There's, Stovall, Tom Hainlin, Tentarelli, CFRA's Stovall, Lyft, Cabot, Aramark, Tempur Sealy, Nikola, Walt Disney, Sally Beauty, Warby Parker, Krispy Kreme, Papa John's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, CIBC Private Wealth, Dow, CFRA, Citigroup, Bank of America, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, University of Michigan, Nvidia, Disney, Spirit Airlines, Tyson Foods, Pharmaceuticals, Lucid, Palantir Technologies, Simon Property, Tech, Lab, Goodyear Tire, Noble Corp, Vornado Realty, Coty, BellRing, Consumer, UBS, BP, Nintendo, Bloomin, Duke Energy, Rockwell Automation, Ferrari, NRG Energy, Electronic Arts, Cirrus, Adaptive Biotech, Arista Networks, Dutch Bros, Holdings, Virgin Galactic, IAC, Rivian Automotive, Brighthouse, Occidental Petroleum, Assurant, Kinross Gold, Labs, Diamond, Reddit, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Embraer, Health, United Parks & Resorts, Emerson Electric, Brookfield , New York Times, Food, Reynolds Consumer Products, Teva Pharma, Uber Technologies, Dine Brands, Liberty Broadband, Fox Corp, Cushman &, Liberty Media, Arm Holdings, Kodiak Gas Services, Solaredge Technologies, AMC Entertainment, Cheesecake, News Corp, Toyota Motors, Fair, US Foods, Hyatt Hotels, Warner Bros, Hilton, Warner Music Group, Unity Software, Insurance, Gen, Honda, AMC Networks Locations: Central, McDonald's, Expeditors, Occidental, Angi, Brookfield , New, Ambev, Cushman & Wakefield, Michigan
United Airlines' shares got a premarket lift following an upgrade at Evercore, and Bank of America dropped its price target on Expedia. He raised the price target to $300 from $225, which implies shares could gain 14.6% from Thursday's close. He also lowered his price target to $181 from $156, which implies 13.5% upside potential from Thursday's close. ET United Airlines shares could surge 56%, according to Evercore Evercore upgraded shares of United Airlines to outperform from in-line. He reiterated his $48 price target on shares, which suggests around 18% upside from the stock's closing price on Thursday.
Persons: Pinterest, Morgan Stanley, TransDigm, CyberArk, Tal Liani, Liani, Kim, Justin, Post, Expedia, — Hakyung Kim, Goldman Sachs, Kate McShane, Gary Millerchip's, McShane, Evercore Evercore, Duane Pfennigwerth, Pfennigwerth, Morgan Stanley's, Kristine Liwag, Liwag, there's, LBTY, Georgios Ierodiaconou, Ierodiaconou, Stephen Ju, Ju, Goldman, Eric Sheridan, . Bank of America's Justin Post Organizations: CNBC, Citi, Liberty Global, United Airlines, Bank of America, Bank of America's, Palo, Costco, Incoming, Kroger, Liberty, Wall Street's, UBS, Pinterest, Google, . Bank of America's, Post Locations: underappreciated, Thursday's, Wall
Final Trades: West Pharma, Sonos, Thermo Fisher and TransDigm
  + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinal Trades: West Pharma, Sonos, Thermo Fisher and TransDigmToday’s “Halftime Report” Investment Committee, Steve Weiss, Joe Terranova, Brian Belski and Karen Firestone give their top picks to watch for the second half.
Persons: Today’s, Steve Weiss, Joe Terranova, Brian Belski, Karen Firestone Organizations: West Pharma, Investment
Though aerospace and defense funds understandably haven't done well in this year's faltering market, some individual stocks have posted substantial gains. U.S. support in what's turning out to be a long war in Ukraine will likely push overall contractor spending higher, benefitting aerospace and defense companies. In this era of high-tech warfare, when strategic military engagement is more about digital systems and aerial weapons than boots on the ground, aerospace and defense companies are advantageously positioned. Lucrative products include fighter jets, helicopters, parts for them, avionics products, missile guidance system, drones and anti-drone technology and support services. Curtiss-Wright Corp (CW) Projected five-year annual earnings growth: Data was not available.
Persons: Lockheed Martin, Giuseppe Cacace, Northrup Grumman, Howmet's, Wright, Woodward, Gerald R, Ford Organizations: US Air Force, USAF, Lockheed, Maktoum International Airport, Afp, Getty, U.S, Publicly, General Dynamics, TransDigm, Inc, Parsons Corp, U.S . Department of Defense, Missile Defense Agency, State Department, Department of Homeland Security, Department of Energy, Federal Aviation Administration . Products, Aerospace, Curtiss, Wright Corp, CW, N.C . Products, Woodward Inc, Huntington Ingalls Industries, Coast Guard, Ford, Pentagon Locations: Dubai, Al, Maktoum, Ukraine, Israel, Gaza, what's, Virgina, Washington, Davidson, N.C, Fort Collins , Colorado
Investors looking for value heading into the holiday season should look no further than the following stocks, Goldman Sachs says. The company beat on both the top and bottom line to go along with strong guidance for the fourth-quarter. TransDigm- buy rating "TDG reported F4Q23 key metrics above consensus, guided the same ones for FY2024 above consensus, announced a large special dividend & announced a new sizable acquisition. Willis Towers Watson - buy rating "We view 3Q23 results as quite supportive of our thesis around ramping talent production & cost efficiencies & we reiterate our Buy rating as we expect momentum to continue on both top & bottom line results. Trex Company- buy rating "We are also encouraged by mgmt's optimism for further top-line gains in 2024, supporting our forecast for robust FCF to allow for investments in growth opportunities and shareholder returns.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Ross, Willis Towers Watson, Noah Poponak, TransDigm, Poponak, Robert Cox, Willis, Cox, there's, Brett Feldman, Warner's, Feldman, shouldn't Organizations: CNBC, Warner Brothers Discovery, TransDigm, Warner Brothers, 3Q, Trex Locations: TransDigm
Certain stocks, including Cintas and Chipotle Mexican Grill , may be due for a pullback as the market hovers close to overbought conditions, according to one popular metric. The broader market is on the cusp of entering overbought territory, however, according to Wolfe Research. A stock with a 14-day RSI greater than 70 is considered to be overbought and at risk of a pullback. American Express , another company that has seen a boost in its stock price this week, could also be due for a pullback. Analysts covering the company forecast a 7.8% upside for its stock price, and just above 50% rate it a buy.
Persons: Thursday's, Jasper Bibb, TD Cowen, Ingersoll Rand Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Wolfe Research, CNBC, Truist Securities, American Express, Barclays, Qualcomm, TransDigm, APA Corp, Marathon Oil, Marathon, APA, UBS, Kroger, Coterra Energy, Cisco Systems Locations: overbought
Affirm posted $496.5 million in revenue, more than the $444.5 million consensus estimate, according to FactSet. It posted adjusted per-share earnings of $8.03, greater than the consensus estimate of $7.55, according to FactSet. The media conglomerate expanded its cost-cutting measures by $2 billion, and reported stronger-than-expected adjusted earnings for the fiscal fourth quarter. Becton, Dickinson and Company — Shares dropped more than 8% after Becton, Dickinson and Company reported disappointing quarterly earnings. The medical technology company posted adjusted earnings of $3.42 per share, lower than the $3.43 per share anticipated by analysts polled by LSEG, formerly Refinitiv.
Persons: Duolingo, Valaris, FactSet, Dickinson, Krispy Kreme, Amylyx, CNBC's Lisa Han, Alex Harring, Hakyung Kim Organizations: . Virgin Galactic Holdings, TransDigm, — Aerospace, TransDigm Group, Disney —, Disney, Barclays, Arm, Company, LSEG, Revenue, AMC Entertainment, Pharmaceuticals
Morning Bid: Oil and bond yields try to find toehold
  + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
The Wall Street sign is pictured at the New York Stock exchange (NYSE) in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., March 9, 2020. The supply picture for U.S. crude, which is now down more than 20% from late September's peaks, has also weighed on energy prices. Crude inventories increased by 11.9 million barrels over the week to Nov. 3, sources said, citing American Petroleum Institute figures. With senior Fed officials on Wednesday side-stepping guidance on the central bank's next policy steps, attention focuses squarely on Powell's latest speech. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Carlo Allegri, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Jerome Powell, Thomas Barkin, Raphael Bostic, Kathleen O'Neill Paese, Christine Lagarde, Janet Yellen, Becton Dickinson, Emelia Sithole Organizations: New York Stock, REUTERS, Federal, American Petroleum Institute, Walt Disney, ABC, Warner Bros Discovery, Richmond Fed, Atlanta Fed, Louis Interim, European Central Bank, . Treasury, News Corp, Wynn Resorts, U.S, Treasury, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Europe, Shanghai, Hong Kong, Washington, St, Brussels, Mettler, Toledo, TransDigm
The major averages rebounded strongly this week as quarterly earnings came in largely better than expected and interest rates fell on softer economic data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose more than 5% for its best week since October 2022. The big theme next week is earnings and the four portfolio companies delivering their quarterly results. Here's the full rundown of all the important domestic data in the week ahead as we consider a number areas of our portfolio for trades next week. ET: Treasury budget statement for October (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust.)
Persons: FactSet, we'll, Hulu —, Krystal, Horton, Zimmer, LEV, Armour, Ralph Lauren Corporation, CRON, Patterson, Walt Disney, MARA, Ginkgo, FREYR Battery, FREY, Arcelor Mittal, Wynn, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, ISM, Services, Coterra Energy, Emerson Electric, Wall, National Instruments, Disney, Hulu, CNBC, Comcast, ESPN —, Wynn Resorts, WYNN, Asia that's, Wynn, Wynn's, Wynn Interactive, United, Brookfield Asset Management, Axsome Therapeutics, Network Corporation, Krystal Biotech, Ceragon Networks, Kosmos Energy Ltd, TreeHouse Foods Inc, Air Lease Corporation, Inc, Eversource Energy, Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc, Graham Corporation, Aereas Inteligentes, Hilton, Energy, Realty Income Corp, Semiconductors, Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc, Clover Health, Contura Energy, Diamondback Energy, FS KKR Capital Corp, Celanese Corp, Eos Energy Enterprises, Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company, WEN, Pall Corp, TransMedics, Emerson, Uber Technologies, Holdings, Melco Resorts, Entertainment, Zimmer Biomet Holdings, ACM Research, Lion Electric Company, Emerson Electric Co, Vertex Energy, Waters Corp, Air Products & Chemicals, Esperion Therapeutics, Fidelity National Information Services Inc, Bowlero Corp, Hotels, KKR, Co, Devon Energy Corp, Occidental Petroleum Corp, Dutch Bros Inc, Gilead Sciences, ContextLogic Inc, Akamai Technologies, Viatris Inc, Technologies, Corsair, Enovix Corporation, eBay, EBAY, DaVita Inc, Pan American Silver Corp, Roblox Corporation, Fisker Inc, Warner Bros ., Nuvei Corporation, Farms, Akebia Therapeutics, Biogen Inc, 3D Systems Corporation, Gray Television Inc, BlackSky Technology Inc, Cronos, EVgo Inc, Lumentum Holdings Inc, Nexstar Media Group, UTI Energy, Starwood Property Trust, AMC Entertainment Holdings, Marathon Digital Holdings, IonQ Inc, Digital Turbine, Virgin Galactic Holdings , Inc, Arm Holdings plc, ARM, Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Suncor Energy, AppLovin Corporation, B2Gold Corp, Luminar Technologies, MGM Resorts International, MGM, Bloom Energy Corporation, Li Auto Inc, Oatly, Kopin Corp, Fiverr International, YETI Holdings, YPF S.A, Ship Lease, Himax Technologies Inc, Dickinson, CommScope Holding, RBC, Agile Therapeutics, Apyx Medical Corporation, Grab Holdings, Hawaiian Electric Industries, Profire Energy, Flags Inc, Stereotaxis Inc, TransDigm, US Foods Holding Corp, Utz Brands, Valvoline Inc, Weibo Corporation, Wix.com Ltd, Trade, Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras, Growth, Aurora Cannabis Inc, Navitas Semiconductor Corp, Archer Aviation Inc, Semiconductor, Energy Fuels Corp, Illumina Inc, Spike Investment Corp, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp, AngloGold, Central Puerto S.A, Hudson Global, AirSculpt Technologies, Partners, Soho House, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Handout, Getty Locations: U.S, Macao, Asia, China, Las, Singapore, Wynn's Vegas, Boston, United Arab Emirates, Gilead, VVV, Central, Soho
Wall Street analysts named a list of stocks this week that they say could offer protection for investors as market tension rises. "We view Zscaler as a best-in-class, next generation cybersecurity company built for the distributed cloud world," he added. Earlier this week, the firm initiated coverage of the aerospace and defense components company with a buy rating. Zscaler - BTIG, buy rating "Over the last couple of months, we have spoken with seven contacts with a view on ZS, and feedback has been consistently positive. TransDigm Group - Citi, buy rating "The company's focus on proprietary products & lean operations affords pricing power and margin expansion potential.
Persons: Jason Kupferberg, Kupferberg, TOST, Zscaler, Gray Powell, Powell, Jason Gursky, Gursky, TransDigm, BURL, ROST, LULU, NetEase, Morgan Stanley Organizations: CNBC, Urban Outfitters, Toast Bank of America, TransDigm Group Citi, TransDigm, Barclays, Free, Citi, NetEase, Bank of America, TAM Locations: 2H23
Economic releases : The Labor Department releases its monthly consumer price index and producer price index on Thursday and Friday, respectively. For that reason, we'd be content if the July figure doesn't indicate a resurgence of rising wholesale costs, which is a concern given a recent uptick in energy prices. On Tuesday before the opening bell, Club holding Eli Lilly (LLY) reports. Finally, Club names Walt Disney (DIS) and Wynn Resorts (WYNN) will report on Wednesday after the closing bell. In preparation for these releases, be sure to check out our first-quarter earnings report card .
Persons: we'll, Knight, Eli Lilly, We'll, donanemab, Walt Disney, We're, Tyson, Henry Schein, Li Auto, Armour, WEN, Ralph Lauren, Price, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nasdaq, Labor Department, Reserve, Manufacturing, ADP, Fitch, AAA, U.S ., PPI, Coterra Energy, Walt, Wynn Resorts, Disney, Tyson Foods, TSN, KKR, Energy, Paramount, UPS, Barrick, Duke Energy, Restaurant Brands, Warner Music, Fox Corp, NRG Energy, AMC, Bros, Endeavor, IAC, Sony, SONY, Brookfield Asset Management, WYNN, Trade, Novo Nordisk, US Foods, News Corp, Air Canada, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: United States, Mounjaro, Hollywood, Las Vegas, Boston, Macao, PENN, Valvoline, VVV, Credicorp, New York City
With only a small fraction of the S & P 500 left to report quarterly earnings, investors are now turning their focus to another major hurdle for the markets and economy: the debt ceiling crisis. Earlier this week, we looked back to debt limit crisis of 2011 for potential lessons. The protracted fight ultimately ended in an agreement in early August of that year, but it was a choppy summertime ride for investors. Within the portfolio, Wynn Resorts will report Tuesday, after the closing bell, and Disney will report on Wednesday, after the closing bell. Estee Lauder (EL) and Emerson Electric (EMR) reported earnings before the opening bell.
For the immediate economic and earnings and growth outlook, it almost seems irrelevant whether regional bank stocks rally, steady or sell off more next week. Regional banks were top of mind for investors this past week, as First Republic failed , the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF tumbled more than 10% — twice the five-day loss in the S & P 500 Energy Index, the hardest hit S & P sector — and lenders such as PacWest Bancorp and Western Alliance Bancorp lost billions in market value. And, for all that, the S & P 500 only fell about 0.75% this week. Now the conventional wisdom on Wall Street is that regardless of how the regional bank stocks trade, it's a given that bank lending officers are going to pull in their horns and risk management desks will grow more risk averse. But stocks still face a host of issues, none of which are going away next week.
As short-term rates slide on the back of the banking crisis, a handful of stocks — including chip names —will emerge winners, according to Jefferies. The strategist noted the steep drop in the 2-year yield is pointing to worsening economic conditions. Indeed, the names Jefferies highlighted are largely tech and growth stocks – that is, companies that suffered the most when interest rates rose and slashed their valuations. Semiconductor stocks Lam Research and Advanced Micro Devices were also included in the list. Paycom Software and aerospace name TransDigm Group were also highlighted in Jefferies' report as beneficiaries of a falling 2-year Treasury yield.
Only three stocks are in the green this year and have had positive returns every year for the past decade, data shows. Insurance company Progressive Corp and aerospace manufacturing company TransDigm Group — both U.S. listed — along with Canadian convenience store operator Alimentation Couche-Tard are the only three stocks in the MSCI World Index to achieve this feat. The Canadian stock is also the largest holding in the only ETF that's posted gains yearly for the past decade . ATD has posted 725% in total returns and 23% CAGR over the past decade. TDG shares have risen by nearly 900% over the past decade in addition to this year, representing 25.4% in total CAGR.
Here are Credit Suisse's favorite stocks for February
  + stars: | 2023-02-09 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Credit Suisse refreshed its "top of the crop" stock picks for February, as the market tries to build on its strong start to the year. Despite the uncertain market backdrop, Credit Suisse highlighted several stocks it thinks can outperform going forward. Credit Suisse has a price target of $27 per share, implying upside of 18.2%. Credit Suisse also sees strong gains for software stock ServiceNow, with the bank's price target of $575 implying upside of more than 20%. Credit Suisse set its target price for shares at $830, implying a 15.2% upside from Tuesday's close.
Under-the-radar aircraft parts producer TransDigm Group is getting a lot of love from analysts this week, who view the stock as an optimal way to play the commercial aftermarket sector. TransDigm also raised its outlook, with commercial aftermarket revenues expected to grow more than anticipated. His $838 price target implies nearly 13% upside for shares from Tuesday's close. The new price target implies roughly 7% upside for shares from Tuesday's close. "We view the company as having the most defensible business model amongst peers and management has overcome numerous short theses," she said.
Earnings : More than 20% of the S & P 500 will report this week; by next Friday, 50% of the S & P will have reported. Craig Johnson at PiperSandler noted that 66% of all S & P 500 stocks are above their 200-day moving averages. It's not just the big-cap S & P 500 that is advancing: So are small-caps. The S & P High-Beta ETF is up 16% this month, at its highest levels since April of 2022. If that holds, it's the first positive January for the S & P 500 since 2019, when it was up 7.9%.
That works out to a 31.2% return on total average short interest of $973.6 billion throughout the year, according to S3 Partners. Stanphyl Capital portfolio manager Mark Spiegel, who has been short Tesla "constantly, in varying size" since 2014, said a bet against Tesla was his fund's most profitable individual short position this year. While higher interest rates have punished growth stocks, some investors believe Tesla CEO Elon Musk's purchase of Twitter is diverting his time running the electric car company. Long-short hedge funds, which bet on stock prices rising or falling, posted a 9.7% loss through November, according to data provider HFR. Charles Lemonides, portfolio manager at $226 billion hedge fund ValueWorks LLC, believes tight monetary policy will weigh on risk appetite next year.
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